04 June 2009

Headline: Office market hit hard by crisis

Australian Financial Review, pg 53. Matthew Cranston. 4 June 2009.

CB Richard Ellis's most recent global occupancy report said office space in the city, which includes rents, taxes and charges, had seen its costs decline over 15 percent in the 12 months to April.

Headline: GPT bucks the trend

Australian Financial Review, pg 50. Lisa Carapiet.  4 June 2009.

GPT Group has posted a better than expected result and is in a strong position to consider strategic acquisitions having sold $560 million of non-core assets in the first half of the current financial year. According to Jones Lang LaSalle Real Estate Intelligence Service, GPT's office portfolio is 98.5 percent leased compared to an industry average of 92.9 percent. In the three months to March 31 the group signed leases with PricewaterhouseCoopers, HSBC and Mills Oakley Lawyers. One area of investment that remains a thorn is its joint venture with the failed Babcock & Brown investment bank, with the venture' s asset management now being transitioned.

Headline: Broker sees 'residual benefits' for REITs in $A rise

Australian Financial Review, pg 47. Lisa Carapiet.  4 June 2009.

Analysts at Credit Suisse say the recent rise in the Australian dollar to US82 cents yesterday is a positive development for Australia’s troubled real estate investment trust sector. The increase in the Australian dollar has reduced pressure from the large amount of overseas debt carried by many in the REIT sector, such as Westfield Group and ING Office. Trusts, such as Macquarie Office, Macquarie Countrywide and Centro Retail, could also see reduction in their net cross currency liability position, says the broker.

Headline: Devine cuts profit forecast by 32pc

Australian Financial Review, pg 47. Lisa Carapiet.  4 June 2009.

The delay in the joint-venture development of 145 Ann Street, Brisbane with Leighton Properties has seen property developer Devine downgrade its profit guidance for fiscal 2009 by a third. Devine chief financial officer Viv Grayson said profits related to the development that would have been realised in this year had now been pushed back to 2010.

Headline: Banks make it hard to build high-rise apartment complexes

Australian Financial Review, pg 45. Scott Elliott.  4 June 2009.

Australian banks have imposed strict new lending criteria for new apartment projects that prevent many developers from obtaining finance. Building and construction industry analysts Reed Construction Data have identified deferrals of $12.5 billion worth of apartment projects in the first three months of 2009. The National Australia Bank, Commonwealth Bank of Australia and Westpac Banking Corporation now require such elements as a precommitment rate of 100 percent. Morgan Stanley analysis shows Westpac has reduced its maximum loan to valuation ratio regardless of presales. Suncorp margins have put it out of the market.

Corporate international law firm Freehills’ partner David Sinn says that banks’ margins have gone up as a result of the economic climate and in some cases it makes [their services] unviable.’ Robert Papaleo, director of property consultancy Charter Keck Cramer, says that the banks are now wanting developers to tip in a lot more equity.’ The Royal Bank of Scotland has caused the company building Vision Tower to go into receivership. Mathews Abraham, a spokesman for the Barton Tower project in Melbourne, says that although progress has been slowed by NAB demands, construction should commence within several months. Analysts say that the Wrap development by the Baracon Group has experienced precommitment difficulties.

The residential building tower in Southbank proposed by developer Central Equity has been deferred. Perth developer Saville Australia has gone into administration and John Corbett of Knight Frank says private developers are looking at its Altus and Capital Square developments. Australian Bureau of Statistics figures show approvals of only $288 million worth of apartment projects in April this year. The may statement from the Reserve Bank of Australia says the property development industry is suffering most from the tighter credit conditions. Following the merger of St George and Westpac, Westpac now has a $60 billion exposure to commercial property; NAB has $70 million.

Headline: In commercial you have to wait longest

Australian Financial Review, pg 45. Robert Harley.  4 June 2009.

Macquarie Capital Advisors' Rod Cornish has experience in watching the cycle of property boom and recession and said that the cycle of recovery is always the same; an initial rise in equities, then house prices stop falling, and then commercial rents stop falling. The rise in equities, especially in Australian real estate investment trusts (REITs), has occurred, yesterday rising another 6 percent with Westfield Group closing at $12.35. JPMorgan analyst Rob Stanton estimates that the net operating income for REITs will decline in the fiscal year 2010. Jones Lang LaSalle's head of research for Australia, David Rees, advised his clients yesterday that the positive headline GDP growth figure would boost confidence - 'Following today's numbers the Reserve Bank and the Treasury are likely to be revising their growth forecasts upwards.'

Headline: Grollo sets eyes on more towering work

Australian Financial Review, pg 44. Nick Lenaghan and Ben Wilmot. 4 June 2009.

Developer Grocon, headed by Daniel Grollo, is planning to use the previously successful property fund model used in the construction of Axa’s headquarters in Melbourne’s Docklands. Bevan Towning, formerly of fund managers Colonial and Challenger, and Andrew Kerr, formerly of Merrill Lynch, have been hired to develop Grocon’s property fund division. In other developments, Grocon is close to sealing a deal on Macquarie Office Trust’s development at Melbourne’s 171 Collins Street. Grocon is also looking to purchase John Boyd Properties planned $900 million office tower at Sydney’s 163 Castlereagh Street, with Australia and New Zealand Banking Group expected to base its headquarters there. The site, which sits opposite the Sydney Hilton, was also linked to UK building firm Laing O’Rourke in 2008.

Headline: Riding high on stimulus wave

Australian Financial Review, pg 11. David Crowe. 4 June 2009.

The Federal Government has claimed vindication with the release of Treasury figures yesterday showing 0.4 percent growth during the March quarter. According to Federal Treasurer Wayne Swan, the data had completely shredded’ the Coalition Party’s strategy of rejecting the stimulus. Last night, the government also distributed comments from TD Securities saying the government had every right to be thrilled.’

Headline: Retailers unite against pay rise

Australian Financial Review, pg 4. Sue Mitchell and Mark Skulley. 4 June 2009.

The Australian National Retailers Association has been joined by the chief executives of Bunnings, David Jones, Coles and Woolworths in pressuring the Federal Government to review its award modernisation plans. The new award is set to impose costs such as higher penalty rates and casual loadings on retailers during a time which sees many of them struggling. Workplace Relations Minister Julia Gillard has assured that no company would face higher costs as a result of the award modernisation being undertaken by the Australian Industrial Relations Commission. Elsewhere, the ACTU’s Jeff Lawrence has called on Ms Gillard to be similarly interventionist’ on the issue of lost pay and conditions under award modernisation.

Headline: Businesses bounced around on currency carousel

Australian Financial Review, pg 1. Simon Evans. 4 June 2009.

Australian companies which import large volumes of goods or have substantial offshore sales are putting in place new hedging contracts to guard themselves against the volatility of the Australian dollar. In the past three months the AUD has gained 32 percent, meaning companies such as Incitec Pivot, BlueScope Steel and James Hardie may see their overseas earnings translating to lower profits in Australian dollar terms. However the higher currency will benefit importers such as clothing group Pacific Brands and Coca-Cola Amatil. Myer chief executive Bernie Brookes says the volatility of the AUD meant suppliers were making short-term decisions and impacted buying power. But airlines Qantas and Virgin Blue have benefited from lower fuel costs, priced in US dollars. Greg Goodsell, equity strategist at Royal Bank of Scotland, said Australian companies were getting better at dealing with the fluctuating AUD.

KPMG analysts said companies would be risking it by not hedging in the current environment. The managing director of Target Launa Inman, said the retailer had a hedging program to guard against currency volatility. Surf wear maker Billabong International blamed volatile exchange rates for last month's its fall in revenue, whilst kitchenware group McPhersons also lost profit when the AUD tumbled 37 percent in October 2008. The company - whose products include cutlery brands Wiltshire and Stanley Rogers, and Lady Jayne hair products - said there was no choice but to hedge. Likewise, the fall of the AUD last year forced Transfield into a capital raising. ANZ economist Riki Polygenis said the strong dollar could be a drag on the broader economy later in the year.